Gas-Powered Vehicles To Dominate Roads in 2040, Feds Say | Edmunds.com
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Gas-Powered Vehicles To Dominate Roads in 2040, Feds Say


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Just the Facts:
  • Gas-powered vehicles will continue to dominate the roads in 2040, according to a new report by the federal government.
  • Plug-in hybrid and electric vehicles will take a backseat to gas-powered vehicles, accounting for just 1 percent of total sales in 2040, according to the Annual Energy Outlook 2014.
  • The fuel efficiency of vehicles will rise from 21.5 mpg in 2012 to 37.2 mpg in 2040, according to the report by the U.S. Energy Department.

WASHINGTON — Gas-powered vehicles will continue to dominate the roads in 2040, according to a new report by the federal government.

Plug-in hybrid and electric vehicles will take a backseat to gas-powered vehicles, accounting for just 1 percent of total sales in 2040, according to the Annual Energy Outlook 2014. The number of diesel vehicles will double to 4 percent from 2 percent in 2012.

In 2040, 78 percent of all cars and trucks will run on gasoline, compared to 82 percent in 2012.

The fuel efficiency of vehicles will rise from 21.5 mpg in 2012 to 37.2 mpg in 2040, according to the report published by the U.S. Energy Information Agency.

Micro-hybrids and advanced technology fuel efficiency subsystems will be found on 42 percent of all vehicles by 2040.

The federal government anticipates that unleaded gasoline will cost $3.90 a gallon in 2040. The cost of diesel fuel will rise to $4.73 a gallon by 2040. The numbers are adjusted for inflation.

Edmunds says: When you go car shopping in 2040, you're likely to buy something that is similar to what you're driving today.

Comments

  • stovt001_ stovt001_ Posts:

    If petrol cars will have 78% market share, diesels 4%, and EVs and PIEVs 1%, what makes up the other 17%?

  • brian_keez brian_keez Posts:

    After reading the report, I'm wondering how any of what that report says is possible. Oil production declines but gasoline prices stay the same over the next 26 years? Electric vehicles don't improve at all, over the same time period even though they have improved greatly over the last ten years..... Where is the real AE02014 report?

  • dieseled dieseled Posts:

    Hybrids or Micro-hybrids will be the 17%.

  • jpwhitehome jpwhitehome Posts:

    To predict $3.90/Gal Gas in 2040 must mean the Feds have a very powerful crystal ball :-) I wonder if healthcare.gov will be working in 2040? Diesel and Plug-in Hybrids are the quick way to boost MPG. To predict just 3% more of the car market going to these is very retrograde. Europe converted to Diesel in just over a decade. We can't add more than 2% extra in the US in over two decades? But I suppose if there is a lack of political will to more to alternative fuels, we won't do it.

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